The Big Picture: By the Numbers
WNBA Point Totals
The "Under" Performance
Historical "Under" Hit Rate
52.8%
(2021-2024 Seasons)
S&P 500 Index
Market Performance
Annualized Return
14.9%
(During WNBA Seasons 2021-2024)
The WNBA "Under" Anomaly
Historically, betting the "under" on WNBA game point totals has been a profitable strategy. The data shows a consistent trend where the final score is lower than the projected total more than half the time, peaking at over 55% in the 2022 season.
S&P 500 Performance During WNBA Seasons
This chart tracks the growth of the S&P 500 index exclusively during the months of the WNBA season (typically May through September) from 2021 to 2024. This isolates market performance to the same timeframe as our sports betting data.
Correlation or Coincidence?
Here we overlay the two datasets. The bars represent the WNBA "under" hit rate for each season, while the line tracks the percentage change of the S&P 500 during that same season. The 2022 season, a peak for WNBA unders, coincided with a significant market downturn.
Strategy vs. Stocks: The Monetary Return
WNBA "Under" Betting Profit
This chart shows the net profit if you bet $100 on the "under" in every single WNBA regular season game, assuming standard -110 odds. The strategy was most profitable during the 2022 season.
S&P 500 Investment Growth
This chart shows the cumulative growth of a single $100 investment made at the start of the 2021 WNBA season. It illustrates the power of long-term market growth despite periods of volatility.
Final Tally: Total Return on Investment
WNBA "Under" Betting ROI
(2021-2024)
5.1%
(Based on $89,300 total wagered)
S&P 500 Investment ROI
(May 2021 - Sep 2024)
26.2%
(Based on a single $100 investment)